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Japan Credit Rating Agency Upgrades India to A- as GDP Grows 7.8%

Japan Credit Rating Agency has upgraded India’s sovereign rating from BBB+ to A- as the Indian economy recorded 7.8% GDP growth, highlighting strong consumption, investment and financial stability.

Japan Credit Rating Agency Upgrades India to A- as GDP Grows 7.8%

Japan Credit Rating Agency has upgraded India’s sovereign credit rating from BBB+ to A-, giving the country a Stable outlook and highlighting its strong economic growth, improving financial system and policy measures aimed at strengthening long-term development.

The upgrade applies to India’s foreign currency and local currency long-term issuer ratings and marks a significant improvement in the country’s sovereign credit profile. The rating agency cited robust private consumption, sustained public investment and improved financial-sector stability as major factors behind its decision.

India’s strong economic performance has also been reflected in the latest GDP data, with the economy growing 7.8% during the April-June quarter of FY2026-27. The growth rate exceeded expectations and underlined the resilience of domestic demand and investment despite global economic uncertainty.

The Japanese rating agency said India has maintained high economic growth and is expected to continue expanding at more than 6% in FY2027. It highlighted government initiatives aimed at improving productivity and economic development, including the expansion of digital public infrastructure and the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax.

The improvement in India's banking sector was another key factor behind the rating upgrade. The gross non-performing loan ratio declined to 1.8% by the end of March 2026, while capital adequacy and profitability in the financial system remained strong.

India's fiscal position has also shown improvement. The central government's fiscal deficit fell to 4.4% of GDP in FY2025-26, compared with 4.7% in the previous financial year, even as capital expenditure remained focused on infrastructure and long-term development.

The rating agency also pointed to India's strong external position. Despite a continuing trade deficit, the country's current account deficit has remained manageable due to a surplus in services, while foreign exchange reserves remain well above short-term external debt levels.

However, the agency noted that government debt, including borrowings by state governments, and the associated interest burden continue to remain important challenges for the economy.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi welcomed India's 7.8% GDP growth, describing the performance as a sign of the country's economic strength and resilience despite disruptions in global supply chains and geopolitical tensions.

The Prime Minister also reiterated the importance of self-reliance, the Vocal for Local initiative and encouraging domestic economic activity as India works towards its long-term development goals.

The combination of the sovereign rating upgrade and strong GDP growth offers a positive signal for India's economy, reflecting confidence in domestic consumption, investment, financial-sector stability and policy reforms. At the same time, managing government debt, sustaining private investment and maintaining growth momentum will remain key challenges in the coming years.


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