Pakistan–Afghanistan Ceasefire on Edge as Haqqani Warns of ‘Crushing Response’

The uneasy calm between Pakistan and Afghanistan is showing early signs of strain, despite a ceasefire agreement reached through intense diplomatic mediation by Turkey and Qatar. Afghan Interior Minister Sirajuddin Haqqani has issued a sharp warning to Pakistan, declaring that any renewed provocation would invite a “crushing response” from Kabul — a statement that underscores the deep mistrust still looming over both nations.

The truce, finalized after marathon peace talks in Istanbul, was hailed as a tentative breakthrough in the long-standing border tensions that have frequently erupted into armed clashes. The agreement includes a follow-up meeting scheduled for November 6 to discuss implementation mechanisms and further steps toward lasting stability. However, officials on both sides acknowledge that the road to peace remains fraught with challenges.

Central to the dispute is Pakistan’s persistent demand that Afghanistan take decisive action against the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) — a militant group responsible for a series of attacks inside Pakistan. Islamabad maintains that TTP fighters are being harbored on Afghan soil, posing a direct threat to its internal security.

Afghanistan, however, has rejected these allegations, insisting that the TTP issue is an internal matter for Pakistan and should not be used as a pretext for cross-border operations. “Our patience should not be mistaken for weakness,” Haqqani reportedly stated after the ceasefire announcement. “If our forbearance is tested again, our response will be very crushing.”

The strong rhetoric from Kabul has reignited concerns about the durability of the truce. Analysts suggest that while the ceasefire reflects diplomatic progress, it may only serve as a temporary pause unless both nations commit to transparent security cooperation. The upcoming November meeting is expected to be crucial in defining future engagement and establishing monitoring mechanisms to prevent fresh hostilities.

The involvement of Turkey and Qatar in mediating the talks highlights the growing international concern over stability in the region. Both nations have maintained close ties with the Taliban-led Afghan administration and are working to ensure that the fragile peace does not unravel under pressure from militant activity or political friction.

As Islamabad and Kabul navigate a volatile mix of political suspicion and security challenges, the ceasefire’s success will depend on restraint, mutual trust, and the willingness to address core issues without resorting to blame. For now, Haqqani’s stern warning serves as a reminder that peace between the two uneasy neighbors remains precarious — and that the next move from either side could determine whether dialogue continues or conflict reignites.