Why Donald Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Hopes May Fall Short in 2025

US President Donald Trump has long flaunted his desire to win the Nobel Peace Prize, citing his role in brokering international peace deals. Most recently, Trump has highlighted efforts to mediate a peace agreement between Israel and Hamas and claimed involvement in resolving seven global conflicts, from Armenia-Azerbaijan to Thailand-Cambodia.

However, experts say Trump’s chances are slim. The Norwegian Nobel Committee prioritizes sustained, verifiable efforts toward peace and multilateral cooperation—criteria Trump’s highly publicized, self-promoted interventions often fail to meet. Several of his claimed “peace wins” involve trade deals, temporary truces, or conflicts with minimal active fighting, raising doubts about their substance.

Trump’s 2025 Peace Push

In recent weeks, Trump has actively promoted a 20-point Gaza peace plan and leveraged his ties with global leaders like Benjamin Netanyahu and Vladimir Putin, urging quick resolutions ahead of the October 10 Nobel announcement. His repeated posts on Truth Social and alleged expletive-laden calls reflect his urgency, but the actual results remain uncertain.

Nobel Criteria vs. Trump’s Claims

Historically, the prize rewards quiet, behind-the-scenes diplomacy and consistent contributions to peace. Last year, Japan’s Nihon Hidankyo and other humanitarian organizations exemplified this approach. In contrast, Trump’s efforts are often theatrical, raising questions about credibility.

Contenders Beyond Trump

This year, other potential recipients include Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, media watchdogs like the Committee to Protect Journalists, and Yulia Navalnaya, widow of Russian critic Alexei Navalny. These nominees align more closely with the Nobel Committee’s focus on enduring, multilateral contributions.

While Trump remains confident, his chances of joining past laureates like Roosevelt, Carter, or Obama appear slim, with experts emphasizing that the prize rewards substance over spectacle.