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India's southwest monsoon is expected to intensify on Tuesday, July 21, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issuing a red alert for several districts of Himachal Pradesh, a yellow alert for Delhi-NCR, and warning of continued heavy rainfall across parts of Northeast India.
The latest weather forecast indicates an active monsoon system driven by multiple upper-air cyclonic circulations, increasing the likelihood of extremely heavy rainfall, flash floods, landslides, and waterlogging in several states.
According to the IMD, six upper-air cyclonic circulations are currently influencing weather conditions across the country. These weather systems are located over:
A low-pressure trough connecting several of these systems is transporting large amounts of moisture, resulting in widespread rainfall stretching from eastern India to the Northeast.
Meteorologists say this combination is expected to trigger intense rainfall in multiple regions over the next 24 hours.
The IMD has placed Chamba, Kangra, Kullu, Mandi, and Sirmaur districts under a red alert, warning of extremely heavy rainfall exceeding 204.4 mm within 24 hours at isolated locations.
The department has cautioned residents about the possibility of:
As a precautionary measure, educational institutions have remained closed in several affected districts.
Continuous rainfall over the past several days has saturated the soil across the Himalayan region, significantly increasing the risk of flash floods.
The IMD has identified several vulnerable districts:
Authorities have advised residents in vulnerable areas to remain alert, avoid travel through landslide-prone routes, and follow local administration advisories.
Delhi and the National Capital Region are under a yellow weather alert for Tuesday.
The IMD forecasts:
The rainfall is expected to provide relief from humid conditions, with daytime temperatures likely to remain between 31°C and 33°C, while minimum temperatures may hover around 24°C to 26°C.
Flood conditions remain critical in Assam, where more than 57,000 people across seven districts continue to be affected by flooding.
According to disaster management authorities:
Fresh spells of very heavy rainfall forecast over Assam and Meghalaya may worsen the situation in flood-affected regions.
Meanwhile, neighbouring Nagaland continues recovery efforts following recent landslides in Mon district.
While northern and northeastern India brace for heavy rainfall, Mumbai remains under an orange alert, indicating the likelihood of heavy to very heavy rain and localized flooding.
In contrast, much of southern India is expected to experience comparatively lighter rainfall over the coming days.
The India Meteorological Department uses a four-tier colour-coded warning system to indicate weather severity:
Authorities have urged residents in high-risk areas to follow official advisories and avoid unnecessary travel during periods of intense rainfall.
The IMD has forecast extremely heavy rainfall exceeding 204.4 mm in isolated areas, raising the risk of flash floods, landslides, and significant disruptions.
Yes. The IMD has predicted light to moderate rainfall across Delhi-NCR, with isolated heavy showers, thunderstorms, and winds of up to 50 kmph.
Parts of Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Uttarakhand, Assam, and Meghalaya are among the regions facing elevated flash flood risks due to continuous heavy rainfall.
The current weather pattern is being driven by six upper-air cyclonic circulations and an active low-pressure trough that are drawing moisture across large parts of the country.
A red alert indicates immediate action is required due to severe weather, orange means residents should be prepared, yellow advises caution and monitoring, while green indicates no weather warning.
More than 57,000 people across seven districts are currently affected by flooding, with rescue and relief operations continuing.
Himachal Pradesh districts are under a red alert, Delhi-NCR is under a yellow alert, and Mumbai is under an orange alert due to heavy rainfall forecasts.
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Published: 7h ago